Economía resiste hasta el momento y crece ya 1.9%

Sorting out the United Nations scenario of uncertainty due to high global inflation and growing fears of a recession in the United States, the Mexican economy accumulated a growth of 1.9 percent in the first six months of the year.

El Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) creció 1.0 percent in the second quarter of the year, por arriba del 0.9 percent expected by the market and similar to the one recorded between January and March, with the same three quarters, la alemestres a al. Estimación oportuna y cifras desesacionalizadas.

The Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI) informed that this advance in the second trimester was driven by the growth of 1.0 percent of tertiary activities (services), as well as tertiary activities (services), as well as de las primarias (agropecuarias), en cada caso, respecto al trimestre previo.

In the April-June quarter of 2022, the opportune estimate of the GDP rose by 1.9 percent compared to the same quarter of the previous year, also higher than the 1.3 percent forecast by the market. series ajustadas estacionalmente,

Por actividad económica, los incrementos fueron de 3.3 por cento en las actividades secundarias, 1.4 por cento en las primarias y 1 por cento en las actividades tertiarias.

Thus, in the first semester of 2022 and with desesational series, the PIB opportuno avanzó 1.9 percent at the annual rate, reported the Inegi.

With original figures, the PIB grew by 2.1 percent between April and June of the present year with respect to the same period of 2021, its fifth consecutive quarter of increase, driven by the advance of 3.3 percent in the active sector and the centenary in 51. y 1.3 por ciento en las terciarias.

Con ello, the economy of México accumulated an advance of 2.0 percent in the first semester of the year with respect to the same period of 2021, supported by the positive performance of the secondary activities in 3.2 and 3.2 in mariolas poriociento 7. and 1.1 percent.

El Inegi precisó que las estimaciones opportunas podriana cambiar cuando se conozcan las cifras del PIB trimestral tradicional, el próximo 25 de agosto.

The indicators were received as “good news”, sobre todo considering that last night, in the United States the GDP fell by 0.9 percent.

En su cuenta de Twitter, the sub-governor of the Banco de México (Banxico), Jonathan Heath, highlighted: “Típicamente hay una correlación positiva significanta entre la actividad de México y Estados Unidos. Sin embargo, now it is estimated that the PIB of Mexico in the second quarter of 2022 is 2.00 per cent major in the fourth quarter of the previous year, while in the United States it is 0.63 per cent minor.

Grupo Financiero Citibanamex highlighted that the growth defied the odds and remained resilient in the second trimester, growing with force and marked contrast with the global deceleration.

Refirió que la estimación opportuna de Inegi para el PIB del segundo trimester implicó UN crecimiento desestacionalizado de 1.0 por cento trimesterl, siginificante por arriba de su proyección de un aumento trimesterl de centocentodelo08.0.5ypor

This rate of expansion is the same as that of the first quarter of 2022, which is surprising in the context of the deceleration of the United States as well as other recent activity figures published by the Inegi that point to the same level.

A tasa anual el PIB desestacionalizado creció 1.9 per cento, luego del aumento anual de 1.8 per cento en el primer quartere. Con este resultado, agregó, el PIB continues 1.1 per cent por debajo de su nivel previo a la pandemia de Covid-19.

Grupo Financiero Monex resaltó que, a diferencia de lo visto con Estados Unidos, la economía mexicana parece haber transitado por un buen momento, pues creció 1.0 per cento trimestral frente al 0.8 per cento el esperoados.

SHCP estimated at 2% del PIB este 2022

La Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público (SHCP) maintained that México does not present a recession at this time, as the economy remains resilient, supported by the internal consumption engine and the growth of commercial credit. de 2.0 por ciento para este año.

El subsecretario de Hacienda y Crédito Público, Gabriel Yorio, dijo que si bien algunos analistas han hablado de una potencial recesión en Estados Unidos, el principal socio comercial de México, la economía de nuestro paíecientás.

No obstante, en sus “Informes sobre la Situación Económica, las Finanzas Públicas y la Deuda Pública al segundo trimestre de 2022”, the SHCP recortó su prognostic de crecimiento a sólo 2.4 pore poreñodes el 1.4 presento , el sólo por ciento . el paquete económico y respecto al 3.4 por cento revisado en abril pasado.

In a video conference to present these reports, the undersecretary of Hacienda said that the major part of the analysts predicted an economic deceleration in the United States and where there is more risk of recession is in the European zone, with the reduction of recession per cent.

It was highlighted that, with the opportune data announced yesterday by INEGI, the growth of the Mexican economy was 1.9 percent in the first half of the year, double what was expected by private analysts. . , driven by the internal market and to a lesser extent by the external trade.

Con ello, sostuvo el subsecretario de Hacienda, se puede affirmar que “existe un piso de cuando menos 2.0 per ciento de crecimiento para este año”, pesar de un contexto económico adverso y presiones inflationarias se elmundo. “En está momento no se está observando una recesión en México… México is no está en esa position, el mercado laboral se está recuperando bastante, se han alcanzado cifras históricas, el exportador se mantien eresilientía maneción, la montiene resiliente” emphasized Yorio. González.

In its reports on public finances delivered yesterday to the Congress of the Union, the Secretaría de Hacienda revised the closing estimates of public finances for 2022 and the evolution of principals’ loñcólica principles.

So, now for public finance projections, the dependence uses a growth of the Gross Domestic Product (PIB) of 2.4 percent, less than 4.1 percent used for the economic package 2022 en paquete económico 2022 en. Pre-standards for 2023.

Para la inflation prevé una tasa de 7.5 per cento para el cierre del año instead of de la de 3.4 per cento y el tipo de cambio average ahora lo estima en 20.1 pesos desde 20.3 pesos por dólar.

The average annual price of the mexica mexica de exportação de petroleum is estimated at 98.4 dollars per barrel, Mayor a los 55.1 dollars previsto antes.

Without subsidy, $35 a liter of gasoline and inflation at 11%

El Paquete Contra la Inflation y la Carestía (Pacic) sí ha funcionado, ya que sin el subsidio a las gasolines y el diésel, el precio de estos combustibles sería de unos 35 pesos y la inflation habría llegado a laocretaría a,11000 de Hacienda y Crédito Público (SHCP).

The undersecretary of Hacienda and Public Credit, Gabriel Yorio González, said that the Pacic is part of the actions that the federal government has taken to complement the effort of the Banco de México (Banxico) to control the inclusion of Mexican (Banxico) gasolines.

With the application of these fiscal incentives to gasoline and diesel, inflation has been prevented from reaching 11 percent instead of 8.2 percent in the second half of July. de esañetae en la desaru motivo de la presentación de los “Informes sobre la Situación Económica, las Finanzas Públicas y la Deuda Pública al segundo trimestre de 2022”.

Señaló que los majores ingresos petroleros derivados de los altos precios internationales del crudo se han utilizado para activar al 100 por ciento el stimuluso del Impuesto Especial sobre Producción y Servicios de ervicios, IELASOLY 2 precios de ervicios, IEPS 2 precios. pesos per liter.

“Solamente me gustaría resaltar que, si no se hubieran tomado estas medidas, el precio de la gasoline estária alrededor de 35 pesos y la inflation habría llegado a un nivel de 11 por ciento”, underlined Yorio Gonzále.

In addition, he said, if this subsidy had not been applied to the price of gasoline and diesel, it would have accelerated the need for the Banxico to adjust monetary policy and “the rate of interest increases would be much more serious than living.”

So, said the undersecretary of Hacienda, the Pacic has worked and has been efficient in maintaining the price of 24 basic products, some of which are showing a small decrease.

Yorio González revealed that the secretary of Hacienda, Rogelio Ramírez de la O, has been dialoguing with representatives of retail sales to try to incorporate more products to the Pacific, as part of the effort to complement the political economy.