Why is Joe Biden smiling? The story is on his side

The reasons for this dip are pretty obvious. Afghanistan’s withdrawal was, to put it mildly, shaky and Biden was facing that debacle – although one could reasonably argue that the seeds of the parody were actually planted by neoconical fuckheads and barking crazy jam salad known as Donald Trump.

In addition to that setback, the delta variant increased just as it began to look like we were turning a corner against the pandemic, Biden’s ambitious economic agenda seemed to stall as a result of democratic conflicts and post-pandemic supply chain failures made inflation a tangible issue for the first time in decades. . So, of course, Biden’s presidency is over, right?

Well, not so fast. A little historical perspective is in place, tout de suite.

Exhibit 1: Bill Clinton. In the face of tough national policies for the first time, Clinton’s honeymoon was short, and by day 133 of his presidency, his poll average had dropped to a dismal 36.8%. In June 1993 Time the magazine dismissed Clinton as “The Incredibly Shrinking President”– Before he continued to win a second term in a landslide.

But perhaps a more relevant comparison is Ronald Reagan’s presidency. I would argue that Reagan laid the foundations for the current turbulent era in American history. Decades of plutocratic-codling policies, including a blind devotion to the dripping economy, steadily eroded the middle class, leaving many working-class Americans behind. Unfortunately, millions of voters have misdiagnosed the problem – which can mainly be boiled down to the fact that the rich have been given free rein to screw everyone else unpunished for the past 40 years – and have pointed to the feverish ratings of a fraudster as their guiding light.

Biden tries to reverse – finally and forcefully – the predictable inequality that has resulted from Reagan’s approach. And – so far at least – he does not seem to get much credit for it. For what people are seeing right now are high gas prices and a Thanksgiving dinner that is more expensive than it used to be.

Biden meets the moment by doing what he can embossed bottlenecks and tamp down the price of gas, but what is likely to make the biggest difference in price inflation is time. Assuming we do not experience another major coronavirus-related economic setback, things should (hopefully!) settle on the inflation front sometime next year. And if they do, watch out, because in 10 months Biden did what Trump could not in four years – that is. $ 1.2 trillion hard infrastructure plan—And is about to clear his sweeping Build Back Better agenda. These investments should prove to be rocket fuel for the economy in the future and, even better, the benefits will be largely enjoyed by the American people.

If all this sounds like wishful thinking, consider this sad scenario from New York Times columnist Jamelle Bouie:

As his first year of office draws to a close, an ambitious new president is on the way down. His legislative agenda has stalled in a cumbersome congress. Voters are angry over inflation and other economic concerns, and he is struggling to find his footing on the world stage.

Allies and critics say the president and his party have made a big mistake and mistaken their successful defeat of a sitting president for a decisive mandate in favor of their program. The results have been a declining approval, a disappointed public and an opposition party with the wind at their backs. If elections to Congress were held today, there is no doubt that the president would lose out against the growing backlash against his administration.

Oh shit. Biden and the Democrats are really screwed, huh? Bouie continues:

What year is this? Not 2021, but 1981, and the president is Ronald Reagan, who at the end of his first year in office was described in exactly these terms. “When the president enters his second year,” Hedrick Smith wrote in The New York Times Magazine in January 1982“Much of the magic is gone and the politics of optimism have found themselves in difficult times. The recession has been hit by a force completely unexpected during the euphoric highs that Reaganism last summer. Reagan’s ‘current headache,'” Smith continued, “reflects the life cycle of the modern American presidency. – flashy first-year start, followed by a slump in the second half, with some recovery in the third year or dazzling performances. “

Of course, in 1984, with a strong economic wind in its back, Reagan blew Democratic challenger Walter Mondale out of the water and won 49 of 50 states. Inflation had been a persistent problem before Reagan took office, but a forced recession early in its first term got that bugbear under control, and with using deficit expenditure and tax cuts boosted the economy. That was pretty much all the public needed to see.

But the economy is not the only problem, right? Well, when it comes down to it, it is – at least when one looks beyond each party’s respective base to independent voters, who are much less connected to the daily donnybrook that is American politics. Believes that Biden’s chances will be affected by 13 officials lost during Afghanistan’s withdrawal? Well, Reagan lost 241 US military personnel in the meantime Beirut suicide bomber in October 1983, and a little over a year later I won … 49 states.

Of course, Biden will not win by that kind of margin if he runs in the 2024 re-election – or anything close to it. Our nation’s currently fragmented policies will ensure that. But he can – and probably will – win re-election. Of course, no one can predict the future, but history tells us that his chances are good.

The midterms will be a heavier boost, but if the BBB goes through, Biden’s veto will remain in place to protect its widely shared benefits for at least another three years, and possibly eight years – and by that time people will be so used to it. universal pre-K, paid family leave, child care benefits, health care improvements, etc., that it will be nearly impossible for Republicans to reverse that policy without being clubbed in the ballot box. (Think of Obamacare’s existing protection terms and the interim period 2018. Or, even better, think of how small the appetite is now for recruiting social security and Medicare.)

I know it’s human nature to panic and believe that what is happening now is what will happen in a month, a year or even three years from now, but nothing can be further from the truth. Biden does a good job with the wheelbarrow of fermented squirrel shit Donald Trump rolled up to his doorstep (even better than Obama did in a similar situation 12 years ago), but it’s reasonable – and human – to be impatient when a crisis is still is very much left at hand.

Biden has not had enough time to turn the Titanic, but he is working on it. And I really think we will miss the iceberg and face a smoother sailing ahead—provided that democracy can survive the GOP, that is.

So did the comedian Sarah Silverman say, “THIS IS FUCKING BRILLIANT”, and invited author Stephen King to scream “Pulitzer Prize !!!” (on Twitter, then). What is it? The viral letter that launched four hilarious Trump trolling books. Get them all, including the final, Goodbye, Asshat: 101 farewell letter to Donald Trump, at this link. Or, if you prefer a test drive, you can download epilogue to Goodbye, asshat for the low, low price FREE.

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